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2. BANKING & FINANCIAL INTERMEDIATION

Coordination: Victor Oliveira

Report on Scientific Activities and Research Projects 2025/2026

1. Research Team

Vitor Branco Oliveira (coordinator); Jorge Mota; António Cabeças (customer satisfaction, trust and loyalty in the digital banking sector — ongoing research). Student participation: J. A. Addae, PhD student at the University of Aveiro, co-supervised by Jorge Mota (3rd cycle).

2. Participation of national and/or foreign researchers or entities

Banco de Portugal (Diogo Serra, Lucas Avezum; Márcio Mateus, Raquel Miranda, Wildmer Gregori, Diana Lima, Fátima Silva) e Dudley Cooke; Universidade de Aveiro (D. Simão, E. Pereira); CMVM (Laura Bartolomeu, seminário do CICEE).

3. Brief description of the main work developed

– Use of capital buffers by banks and lending during a crisis (“To Use or Not to Use? Capital Buffers and Lending During a Crisis”), accepted in the International Journal of Central Banking in January 2026.
– Determinants of bank credit ratings in Africa, EU13 and Latin America/Caribbean — panel of 752 banks from 95 countries, 2011–2020 (Managerial Finance), with Jorge Mota and António Carrizo Moreira.
– The ECB’s intervention in the recent inflationary crisis and the consequences for companies (WorldCEM 2025).
– In development at Banco do Portugal: intangible assets, financing constraints and access to bank credit; interaction between monetary and macroprudential policies and the role of the financial cycle (see also line 9).
– Ongoing research on digital transformation and customer satisfaction, trust and loyalty in the digital banking sector (Antônio Cabeças).

4. Key objectives achieved

Two articles in journals indexed in Scopus/Web of Science (one of them accepted, in press); two articles in development.

5. Published works

Oliveira, V., Serra, D., & Avezum, L. (2026). To Use or Not to Use? Capital Buffers and Lending During a Crisis. International Journal of Central Banking. Aceite para publicação em janeiro de 2026; no prelo.

Addae, J. A., Mota, J., & Moreira, A. C. (2026). Determinants of bank credit ratings: Evidence from Africa, the EU13, and Latin America/Caribbean. Managerial Finance, 52(5), 773–794. https://doi.org/10.1108/MF-09-2024-0664

6. Dissemination of results

Simão, D., Pereira, E., & Mota, J. H. (2025). A intervenção do BCE na recente crise inflacionista e consequências nas empresas. World Conference on Economics and Management (WorldCEM 2025), Universidade de Aveiro, 16/10/2025.

7. Conferences and Seminars held at UAL

CICEE Research Seminar Series, 27/5/2026 — “Do banks price firms’ climate transition risks?”, Laura Bartolomeu (CMVM).

 

Plan 2026/2027

1. Research Team

Vitor Branco Oliveira (coordenador); António Cabeças.

2. Projects to be developed and main objectives

– Research developed at the Bank of Portugal in affiliation with CICEE (Vitor Oliveira): (i) “Intangible Assets, Financing Constraints, and Access to Bank Credit” (with Márcio Mateus, Dudley Cooke, and Raquel Miranda) — the effect of asset intangibility on financing constraints and access to bank credit; (ii) “Monetary and Macroprudential Policies: Does the Financial Cycle Matter?” (with Wildmer Gregori, Diana Lima, Raquel Miranda, and Fátima Silva) — the interaction between monetary and macroprudential policies throughout the financial cycle (in conjunction with line 9). Publication of “To Use or Not to Use? Capital Buffers and Lending During a Crisis” in the International Journal of Central Banking (accepted in January 2026).

– Digital transformation, artificial intelligence, and customer satisfaction, trust, and loyalty in the digital banking sector (Antônio Cabeças).
Objectives: to complete and submit the two articles in development and to consolidate the line of research on customer behavior in the digital banking sector.

3. Activities in partnership with national and/or foreign entities

Bank of Portugal (Department of Economic Studies and research teams); Dudley Cooke.

4. Schedule

Sept. 2026 – Aug. 2027: completion of the two articles in development and submission to international journals; publication of the accepted article in the International Journal of Central Banking.
Expected completion date: August 31, 2027.

5. Main results/expected outputs

One article published in a journal indexed in Scopus/Web of Science (IJCB); two completed articles submitted to international journals.

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